Forecasters predict below-average Atlantic hurricane season

August 11th, 2014 by admin

Post-tropical storm Arthur affected New Brunswick in early July, but forecasters from the University of Colorado are predicting a below-average Hurricane season this year. The AP cites federal forecasters in explaining that atmospheric and oceanic conditions have reduced the likelihood of a powerful storm season. 

While the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration still expects three to six hurricanes to occur between August and October, this number is lower than the average of twelve storms over the year. Insurance Journal also claims that anticipated tropical cyclone activity in 2014 will be 70 percent of the seasonal average.

The forecasters expect nine storms to form this year, with winds of at least 63 kilometers per hour. One of these storms is likely to become a hurricane, and another one to become a major storm, Bloomberg News reports.

Phil Klotzbach, the lead author of the forecast, explained: "So far, the 2014 season is exhibiting characteristics similar to the 1957, 1986, 1993, 2002, and 2009 hurricane seasons, all of which had below-normal hurricane activity." 

In an email to Bloomberg, Klotzbach noted that the lower than usual forecast is "due to El Nino's likely development" in the Pacific with "cool sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic." 

The Atlantic hurricane season is especially significant because it has wide-ranging effects on lives, property and markets in the U.S., Canada, Mexico and the Caribbean, Bloomberg writes. 

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